Photo: Ronald Valdes Balsells, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons

The world in 2046 (projected)

For 1 January 2046, the UN projects 9.46 billion people alive, and 135 million births and 87.3 million deaths during the year.

That is 1.19 billion more people than in 2026.

The median age is 35.2. 21% of the people are under 15 and 15% are 65 or older.

Life expectancy at birth is 76.6 years, and women have 2.1 children on average at that year’s rates.

Countries with more than 100 million people: 18.

Figures for 2046 are UN projections (medium variant). Estimates end in 2023.

Population, 1 January 2046
9,464,147,498
Median age
35.2
Births in 2046
134,763,860
Deaths in 2046
87,281,955
Life expectancy at birth
76.6
Children per woman
2.11
Under 15
20.8%
65 and over
15.3%
Population pyramid, World, 1 January 2046MaleFemale0102030405060708090100+020M20M40M40M60M60M80M80M
Population pyramid, World, 1 January 2046 Projection

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The most populous countries

CountryPopulationUnder 1565 and over
India1,658,907,10318.7%13.0%
China1,302,069,5029.7%28.7%
United States376,634,41416.0%22.5%
Pakistan351,206,20430.2%5.8%
Nigeria338,987,21332.6%4.2%
Indonesia317,694,30619.8%13.8%
Brazil218,935,71115.1%20.2%
Bangladesh209,636,98820.6%11.5%
Ethiopia208,500,21931.5%4.9%
Democratic Republic of the Congo197,152,32239.0%3.4%

Development and urbanisation

IndicatorLatest valueYear
Living in cities47.8%2046, projected
People using the internetnone observed–
Access to electricitynone observed–
Adult literacy (ages 15 and over)none observed–
none observed–
none observed–
none observed–
Human Development Indexnone observed–

Values observed in 2046, or in the closest earlier year within five years, shown with that year. The share in cities is a UN estimate to 2025 and a projection after. Sources: World Bank WDI, UNDP HDR, UN WUP 2025.

Sources: World Population Prospects 2024, UN DESA Population Division (CC BY 3.0 IGO).