Photo: NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/Reto Stöckli

Ethiopia: population and ages

Ethiopia: 137 million people on 1 January 2026, number 10 of 237 countries and areas by population.

The UN projects growth until at least 2100, to 367 million.

Figures for 2026 are UN projections (medium variant). Estimates end in 2023.

Population, 1 January 2026
137,179,590
Median age
19.3
Births in 2026
4,213,081
Deaths in 2026
795,185
Life expectancy at birth
68.1
Children per woman
3.72
Under 15
38.6%
65 and over
3.3%
Population pyramid, Ethiopia, 1 January 2026MaleFemale0102030405060708090100+01.3M1.3M2.5M2.5M
Population pyramid, Ethiopia, 1 January 2026 Projection

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Population over time

In mid-1950 there were 17.7 million people, so the population is now 7.9 times as large.

The UN projects 4.21 million births and 795,000 deaths in 2026, 3.42 million more births than deaths.

Population, 1950 to 2100Projected from 20240100M200M300M400M1950197520002025205020752100
2026 Ethiopia: 138.9M

Ages

The median age is 19.3, which is 11.8 years below the world’s 31.1.

39% of the people are under 15 and 3.3% are 65 or older (world: 24% and 11%).

In the UN projection, children under 15 outnumber people aged 65 and over in every year to 2100.

Women have 3.7 children on average at today’s rates (world: 2.2), against 6.4 in 1950.

Life expectancy at birth is 68.1 years, below the world’s 73.8. In 1950 it was 35.5.

Median age, 1950 to 2100Projected from 2024010203040501950197520002025205020752100WorldEthiopia
2026 Ethiopia: 19World: 31

See how the pyramid changes from 1950 to 2100

Births, deaths and the years ahead

For mid-2050 the UN projects 225 million people, 62% more than now, with a median age of 24.6.

Births and deaths per year, 1950 to 2100Projected from 202401M2M3M4M5M1950197520002025205020752100BirthsDeaths
2026 Births: 4.2MDeaths: 795.2K

Compare Ethiopia with other countries

Development and urbanisation

In 2025, 26% of the people lived in cities, 41% in towns and semi-dense areas and 33% in rural areas. For 2050 the UN projects 37% in cities.

Degree of urbanisation: one rule for every country, a city has at least 50,000 people at 1,500 or more per km². National definitions of “urban” differ.

IndicatorLatest valueYear
People using the internet21.9%2024
Access to electricity56.6%2024
Adult literacy (ages 15 and over)60.5%2022
55.6%2024
10.4%2024
7.0%2024
Human Development Index0.4972023

Each value is the latest one published, with the year it refers to. Countries publish in different years. Sources: World Bank, World Development Indicators (ITU, SDG 7.1.1, UNESCO UIS), UNDP, Human Development Report, UN, World Urbanization Prospects 2025.

Longevity, ageing and the future

By the death rates of 2023, life expectancy at birth was 67.3 years. People who had reached 65 could expect 15.5 more years for women and 13.6 for men.

On 1 January 2026, there are 5.7 people aged 65 or more for every 100 aged 15 to 64. For 2050, the UN projects 8.2.

For 2100 the UN projects a population of 367 million, with a 95 percent prediction interval of 227 million to 706 million.

Life expectancy at birth is a period measure. It sums up the death rates of one year and is not a forecast of how long the babies born that year will live.

Sources: World Population Prospects 2024, life tables, probabilistic projections, UN DESA Population Division (CC BY 3.0 IGO).

International migrants

In mid-2024, 1.17 million international migrants lived here, 0.9% of the population.

In mid-2024, 1.24 million people from here lived in other countries.

Largest countries of origin
CountryPeople
South Sudan443,743
Somalia389,246
Eritrea176,860
Sudan88,958
China26,824
Largest countries of destination
CountryPeople
United States363,811
Saudi Arabia180,746
Sudan121,969
South Africa104,402
Israel101,417

Counted by country of birth. Refugees are included. A migrant stock counts people living outside their country at mid-year, not journeys or yearly moves. Sources: International Migrant Stock 2024, UN DESA Population Division (CC BY 3.0 IGO).

Cities

Cities of 50,000 people or more here, by the UN degree of urbanisation: 259.

CityPopulation 2025
Ādīs Ᾱbeba (Addis Ababa)6,705,705
Adama584,854
Bahir Dar498,735
Dire Dawa483,674
Shashamane452,945
Hawassa444,909
Bishoftu442,776
Jijiga422,225
Gonder392,767
Dilla360,925

Sources: World Urbanization Prospects 2025, UN DESA Population Division (CC BY 3.0 IGO).

All cities

Data and sources

Ethiopia every ten years
YearPopulation (1 July)Median ageBirthsDeathsLife expectancyChildren per woman
195017,670,41217.0799,118497,14335.56.43
196021,376,69317.51,023,316511,62439.66.51
197027,829,12817.01,384,000623,17442.16.78
198034,428,51415.71,770,840763,30742.87.29
199047,609,75515.82,418,073938,36545.17.20
200067,411,49415.13,073,321989,64950.96.65
201090,538,51415.83,311,116813,00159.75.28
2020118,917,67118.13,961,198761,47566.04.27
2030152,855,35720.24,325,561836,04869.23.43
2040188,450,90222.14,534,557975,84271.42.90
2050225,021,87424.64,791,3531,178,42473.32.55
2060260,708,34027.24,869,5491,427,86575.12.32
2070293,790,93829.64,865,9321,756,50276.92.15
2080323,238,50832.14,836,1992,163,46378.52.03
2090347,651,46334.44,740,7462,587,52880.11.94
2100367,289,59636.64,633,3512,989,12281.61.88

Rows from 2024 on are UN projections (medium variant), shown in italics.

The UN estimates every country and area within its present borders for every year since 1950, also for years before it became independent or took its present shape. Figures for earlier years therefore describe the people who lived on today’s territory.

Sources: World Population Prospects 2024, UN DESA Population Division (CC BY 3.0 IGO).

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