Photo: Ronald Valdes Balsells, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons

The world in 2053 (projected)

For 1 January 2053, the UN projects 9.76 billion people alive, and 131 million births and 95.2 million deaths during the year.

That is 1.48 billion more people than in 2026.

The median age is 36.7. 20% of the people are under 15 and 17% are 65 or older.

Life expectancy at birth is 77.3 years, and women have 2.1 children on average at that year’s rates.

Countries with more than 100 million people: 18.

Figures for 2053 are UN projections (medium variant). Estimates end in 2023.

Population, 1 January 2053
9,760,865,381
Median age
36.7
Births in 2053
130,666,632
Deaths in 2053
95,173,328
Life expectancy at birth
77.3
Children per woman
2.08
Under 15
20.1%
65 and over
17.0%
Population pyramid, World, 1 January 2053MaleFemale0102030405060708090100+020M20M40M40M60M60M80M80M
Population pyramid, World, 1 January 2053 Projection

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The most populous countries

CountryPopulationUnder 1565 and over
India1,688,065,58017.3%15.7%
China1,232,855,0639.9%32.8%
Pakistan382,952,98428.1%6.8%
United States382,951,71715.8%23.4%
Nigeria369,930,28630.0%4.7%
Indonesia321,740,01618.8%15.7%
Ethiopia234,165,91929.3%5.7%
Democratic Republic of the Congo230,247,05336.5%3.7%
Bangladesh217,239,23418.9%14.7%
Brazil216,287,24514.4%23.7%

Development and urbanisation

IndicatorLatest valueYear
People using the internetnone observed–
Access to electricitynone observed–
Adult literacy (ages 15 and over)none observed–
none observed–
none observed–
none observed–
Human Development Indexnone observed–

Values observed in 2053, or in the closest earlier year within five years, shown with that year. The share in cities is a UN estimate to 2025 and a projection after. Sources: World Bank WDI, UNDP HDR, UN WUP 2025.

Sources: World Population Prospects 2024, UN DESA Population Division (CC BY 3.0 IGO).