The world in 2061 (projected)
For 1 January 2061, the UN projects 10 billion people alive, and 127 million births and 103 million deaths during the year.
Mid-2061 is the first mid-year with more than 10 billion people.
That is 1.71 billion more people than in 2026.
The median age is 38.0. 19% of the people are under 15 and 19% are 65 or older.
Life expectancy at birth is 78.2 years, and women have 2.0 children on average at that year’s rates.
Countries with more than 100 million people: 17.
Figures for 2061 are UN projections (medium variant). Estimates end in 2023.
- Population, 1 January 2061
- 10,001,869,905
- Median age
- 38.0
- Births in 2061
- 127,116,967
- Deaths in 2061
- 103,025,274
- Life expectancy at birth
- 78.2
- Children per woman
- 2.02
- Under 15
- 19.2%
- 65 and over
- 18.6%
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The most populous countries
| Country | Population | Under 15 | 65 and over |
|---|---|---|---|
| India | 1,701,211,407 | 16.2% | 19.2% |
| China | 1,128,158,014 | 8.6% | 37.4% |
| Pakistan | 416,442,545 | 26.0% | 8.1% |
| Nigeria | 401,658,681 | 27.4% | 5.3% |
| United States | 389,328,613 | 15.1% | 24.6% |
| Indonesia | 322,489,463 | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo | 269,111,833 | 33.8% | 4.3% |
| Ethiopia | 262,453,067 | 27.1% | 7.2% |
| Bangladesh | 223,444,672 | 17.7% | 18.0% |
| Brazil | 210,613,768 | 13.7% | 26.6% |
Development and urbanisation
| Indicator | Latest value | Year |
|---|---|---|
| People using the internet | none observed | – |
| Access to electricity | none observed | – |
| Adult literacy (ages 15 and over) | none observed | – |
| none observed | – | |
| none observed | – | |
| none observed | – | |
| Human Development Index | none observed | – |
Values observed in 2061, or in the closest earlier year within five years, shown with that year. The share in cities is a UN estimate to 2025 and a projection after. Sources: World Bank WDI, UNDP HDR, UN WUP 2025.
Sources: World Population Prospects 2024, UN DESA Population Division (CC BY 3.0 IGO).
