Photo: Ronald Valdes Balsells, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons

The world in 2029 (projected)

For 1 January 2029, the UN projects 8.47 billion people alive, and 133 million births and 66.7 million deaths during the year.

That is 203 million more people than in 2026.

The median age is 31.8. 23% of the people are under 15 and 11% are 65 or older.

Life expectancy at birth is 74.2 years, and women have 2.2 children on average at that year’s rates.

Countries with more than 100 million people: 16.

Figures for 2029 are UN projections (medium variant). Estimates end in 2023.

Population, 1 January 2029
8,470,160,584
Median age
31.8
Births in 2029
132,988,654
Deaths in 2029
66,739,327
Life expectancy at birth
74.2
Children per woman
2.20
Under 15
23.3%
65 and over
11.3%
Population pyramid, World, 1 January 2029MaleFemale0102030405060708090100+020M20M40M40M60M60M80M80M
Population pyramid, World, 1 January 2029 Projection

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The most populous countries

CountryPopulationUnder 1565 and over
India1,507,491,57322.8%8.2%
China1,404,284,30013.1%17.0%
United States353,244,40416.5%19.9%
Indonesia293,013,82422.9%8.5%
Pakistan270,095,39134.7%4.6%
Nigeria254,839,64538.8%3.2%
Brazil215,223,90718.4%13.0%
Bangladesh183,048,74726.6%7.3%
Ethiopia147,577,70937.9%3.6%
Russia142,480,73015.7%19.4%

Development and urbanisation

IndicatorLatest valueYear
Living in cities45.4%2029, projected
People using the internet73.6%2025
Access to electricity91.9%2024
Adult literacy (ages 15 and over)87.7%2024
91.5%2024
82.2%2024
75.4%2024
Human Development Indexnone observed–

Values observed in 2029, or in the closest earlier year within five years, shown with that year. The share in cities is a UN estimate to 2025 and a projection after. Sources: World Bank WDI, UNDP HDR, UN WUP 2025.

Sources: World Population Prospects 2024, UN DESA Population Division (CC BY 3.0 IGO).