Photo: Ronald Valdes Balsells, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons

The world in 2049 (projected)

For 1 January 2049, the UN projects 9.6 billion people alive, and 133 million births and 90.7 million deaths during the year.

That is 1.32 billion more people than in 2026.

The median age is 35.8. 21% of the people are under 15 and 16% are 65 or older.

Life expectancy at birth is 76.9 years, and women have 2.1 children on average at that year’s rates.

Countries with more than 100 million people: 18.

Figures for 2049 are UN projections (medium variant). Estimates end in 2023.

Population, 1 January 2049
9,601,611,841
Median age
35.8
Births in 2049
133,163,337
Deaths in 2049
90,746,284
Life expectancy at birth
76.9
Children per woman
2.10
Under 15
20.5%
65 and over
16.0%
Population pyramid, World, 1 January 2049MaleFemale0102030405060708090100+020M20M40M40M60M60M80M80M
Population pyramid, World, 1 January 2049 Projection

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The most populous countries

CountryPopulationUnder 1565 and over
India1,673,552,83918.1%14.1%
China1,275,309,9789.9%30.1%
United States379,520,99616.0%22.9%
Pakistan365,078,26029.3%6.2%
Nigeria352,583,83331.5%4.4%
Indonesia319,884,10719.4%14.7%
Ethiopia219,548,87130.5%5.2%
Brazil218,092,05914.8%21.8%
Bangladesh213,096,90719.8%12.8%
Democratic Republic of the Congo211,132,18037.8%3.5%

Development and urbanisation

IndicatorLatest valueYear
Living in cities48.2%2049, projected
People using the internetnone observed–
Access to electricitynone observed–
Adult literacy (ages 15 and over)none observed–
none observed–
none observed–
none observed–
Human Development Indexnone observed–

Values observed in 2049, or in the closest earlier year within five years, shown with that year. The share in cities is a UN estimate to 2025 and a projection after. Sources: World Bank WDI, UNDP HDR, UN WUP 2025.

Sources: World Population Prospects 2024, UN DESA Population Division (CC BY 3.0 IGO).